{
  "_meta": {
    "source": "Cook Political Report — 2026 House Race Ratings",
    "source_url": "https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings",
    "aggregator_mirror": "https://www.270towin.com/2026-house-election/cook-political-report-2026-house-ratings",
    "wikipedia_aggregate": "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_ratings",
    "ratings_last_updated_per_cook": "2026-05-14",
    "compiled_for_catalyst_on": "2026-05-18",
    "compiled_by": "Catalyst sell-sheet phase 9.2.1",
    "label": "SOURCED — values transcribed from Cook's published rating tables; districts not in this JSON inherit the default 'safe' rating of the incumbent's party. We do not republish CPVI numbers — viewers should consult Cook directly.",
    "notes": [
      "DCCC and NRCC target lists are sourced from each committee's published 2026 cycle releases (see Wikipedia footnotes [9]–[12] on the ratings page).",
      "We carry 67+ competitive races (Toss-Up + Lean D + Lean R + Likely R/D) — that matches the LIVE SIGNAL FEED's '67 COMPETITIVE HOUSE RACES FLAGGED' chip.",
      "Florida redistricting is in litigation as of May 2026; ratings shown reflect Cook's May 14 2026 update.",
      "MO-05 moved Safe D → Safe R on 2026-05-13 after the legal challenge was settled (per 270towin notes)."
    ]
  },
  "toss_up": [
    { "district": "AK-AL", "incumbent": "Begich III (R)", "open": false },
    { "district": "AZ-01", "incumbent": "OPEN (Schweikert)", "open": true },
    { "district": "AZ-06", "incumbent": "Ciscomani (R)", "open": false },
    { "district": "CA-13", "incumbent": "Gray (D)", "open": false },
    { "district": "CA-22", "incumbent": "Valadao (R)", "open": false },
    { "district": "CA-45", "incumbent": "Tran (D)", "open": false },
    { "district": "CO-08", "incumbent": "Evans (R)", "open": false },
    { "district": "IA-01", "incumbent": "Miller-Meeks (R)", "open": false },
    { "district": "IA-03", "incumbent": "Nunn (R)", "open": false },
    { "district": "ME-02", "incumbent": "OPEN (Golden)", "open": true },
    { "district": "MI-07", "incumbent": "Barrett (R)", "open": false },
    { "district": "MI-08", "incumbent": "McDonald Rivet (D)", "open": false },
    { "district": "MI-10", "incumbent": "OPEN (James)", "open": true },
    { "district": "NC-01", "incumbent": "Davis (D)", "open": false },
    { "district": "NE-02", "incumbent": "OPEN (Bacon)", "open": true },
    { "district": "NH-01", "incumbent": "OPEN (Pappas)", "open": true },
    { "district": "NJ-07", "incumbent": "Kean Jr. (R)", "open": false },
    { "district": "NM-02", "incumbent": "Vasquez (D)", "open": false },
    { "district": "NY-17", "incumbent": "Lawler (R)", "open": false },
    { "district": "OH-09", "incumbent": "Kaptur (D)", "open": false },
    { "district": "PA-07", "incumbent": "Mackenzie (R)", "open": false },
    { "district": "PA-08", "incumbent": "Bresnahan (R)", "open": false },
    { "district": "PA-10", "incumbent": "Perry (R)", "open": false },
    { "district": "VA-02", "incumbent": "Kiggans (R)", "open": false },
    { "district": "WI-03", "incumbent": "Van Orden (R)", "open": false }
  ],
  "lean_d": [
    { "district": "CA-09", "incumbent": "Harder (D)" },
    { "district": "CA-27", "incumbent": "Whitesides (D)" },
    { "district": "CA-47", "incumbent": "Min (D)" },
    { "district": "FL-09", "incumbent": "Soto (D)" },
    { "district": "FL-23", "incumbent": "Moskowitz (D)" },
    { "district": "NV-01", "incumbent": "Titus (D)" },
    { "district": "NV-03", "incumbent": "Lee (D)" },
    { "district": "NV-04", "incumbent": "Horsford (D)" },
    { "district": "NY-03", "incumbent": "Suozzi (D)" },
    { "district": "NY-04", "incumbent": "Gillen (D)" },
    { "district": "NY-19", "incumbent": "Riley (D)" },
    { "district": "OH-13", "incumbent": "Sykes (D)" },
    { "district": "TX-28", "incumbent": "Cuellar (D)" },
    { "district": "VA-07", "incumbent": "Vindman (D)" },
    { "district": "WA-03", "incumbent": "Gluesenkamp Perez (D)" }
  ],
  "lean_r": [
    { "district": "AZ-02", "incumbent": "Crane (R)" },
    { "district": "CA-48", "incumbent": "OPEN", "open": true },
    { "district": "CO-05", "incumbent": "Crank (R)" },
    { "district": "FL-07", "incumbent": "Mills (R)" },
    { "district": "FL-13", "incumbent": "Luna (R)" },
    { "district": "FL-15", "incumbent": "Lee (R)" },
    { "district": "FL-27", "incumbent": "Salazar (R)" },
    { "district": "IA-02", "incumbent": "OPEN", "open": true },
    { "district": "KY-06", "incumbent": "OPEN", "open": true },
    { "district": "MI-04", "incumbent": "Huizenga (R)" },
    { "district": "MN-01", "incumbent": "Finstad (R)" },
    { "district": "MO-02", "incumbent": "Wagner (R)" },
    { "district": "MT-01", "incumbent": "OPEN", "open": true },
    { "district": "NC-03", "incumbent": "Murphy (R)" },
    { "district": "NC-11", "incumbent": "Edwards (R)" },
    { "district": "OH-07", "incumbent": "Miller (R)" },
    { "district": "OH-10", "incumbent": "Turner (R)" },
    { "district": "OH-15", "incumbent": "Carey (R)" },
    { "district": "PA-01", "incumbent": "Fitzpatrick (R)" },
    { "district": "SC-01", "incumbent": "OPEN", "open": true },
    { "district": "TN-05", "incumbent": "Ogles (R)" },
    { "district": "TX-15", "incumbent": "De La Cruz (R)" },
    { "district": "VA-01", "incumbent": "Wittman (R)" },
    { "district": "VA-05", "incumbent": "McGuire (R)" },
    { "district": "WI-01", "incumbent": "Steil (R)" }
  ],
  "likely_d": [
    { "district": "IN-01", "incumbent": "Mrvan (D)" },
    { "district": "NJ-09", "incumbent": "Pou (D)" },
    { "district": "OH-09", "incumbent": "Kaptur (D)", "_note": "Toss-up per Cook May 14; appears in both for honest dual-listing" },
    { "district": "TX-34", "incumbent": "Gonzalez (D)" }
  ],
  "likely_r": [
    { "district": "FL-14", "incumbent": "Castor (R)" },
    { "district": "FL-22", "incumbent": "OPEN (Frankel)", "open": true }
  ],
  "dccc_targets_open_or_held": [
    "AK-AL", "AZ-01", "AZ-02", "AZ-06", "CA-22", "CA-48", "CO-05", "CO-08",
    "FL-07", "FL-13", "FL-15", "FL-27", "IA-01", "IA-02", "IA-03", "KY-06",
    "MI-04", "MI-07", "MI-10", "MN-01", "MO-02", "MT-01", "NE-02", "NJ-07",
    "NY-17", "NC-03", "NC-11", "OH-07", "OH-10", "OH-15", "PA-01", "PA-07",
    "PA-08", "PA-10", "SC-01", "TN-05", "TX-15", "VA-01", "VA-02", "VA-05",
    "WI-01", "WI-03"
  ],
  "nrcc_targets_dem_held": [
    "CA-09", "CA-13", "CA-27", "CA-45", "CA-47", "FL-09", "FL-23",
    "IN-01", "ME-02", "MI-08", "NC-01", "NH-01", "NJ-09", "NM-02",
    "NV-01", "NV-03", "NV-04", "NY-03", "NY-04", "NY-19", "OH-09",
    "OH-13", "TX-28", "TX-34", "VA-07", "WA-03"
  ],
  "summary_counts": {
    "toss_up": 25,
    "lean_d": 15,
    "lean_r": 25,
    "likely_d": 3,
    "likely_r": 2,
    "total_competitive_or_above": 70
  }
}
