TARGET: OBJECTIVE: HORIZON:
⚡ MISSION OVERVIEW — ALL VIABLE CANDIDATES (April 2026)

Live dashboard of all viable and watching-tier candidates. Click any card to jump directly to that candidate's pre-computed intervention sequence and tactical brief. Probability figures are Ferguson model projections based on current invisible primary signals, not polling.

VIABLE
Pete Buttigieg
28.4% nom. prob
🎯 #1: Secure Reid Hoffman as tech anchor donor (+6-10pts)
VIABLE
Kamala Harris
26.1% nom. prob
🎯 #1: Katzenberg first signal donor commit resets narrative (+8-12pts)
WATCHING
Gavin Newsom
18.2% nom. prob
🎯 #1: Midwest donor outreach for economic credibility (+5-8pts)
WATCHING
Gretchen Whitmer
13.7% nom. prob
🎯 #1: UAW early endorsement locks MI labor credibility (+8-12pts)
WATCHING
Josh Shapiro
8.9% nom. prob
🎯 #1: PA donor network activation + electability framing (+6-10pts)
WATCHING
JB Pritzker
4.7% nom. prob
🎯 #1: Signal external donor commitments to counter self-fund narrative (+4-7pts)
🗺 Optimal Intervention Sequences
Pre-generated for all viable candidates | Instant load
PRE-LOADED ✓
BUTTIGIEG
HARRIS
NEWSOM
WHITMER
SHAPIRO
PRITZKER
⚙ CUSTOM
📋 Active Operations Board
Drag cards between columns | Click to expand
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Planning
In Progress
Executed
Measuring
🕸 Network Path Visualizer
Click node to see access strategy | Toggle Grade A paths
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● Accessible (direct) ● 2 hops ● Needs intermediary ● Difficult access
📡 Cascade Probability Monitor
2028 Dem nomination probabilities | Signal-adjusted
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📻 Intelligence Feed
Live signals — add new intelligence below
0 signals
🧠 Tactical Intelligence Briefs — All Viable Candidates
Pre-generated by Catalyst Intelligence Engine | Ferguson Model v2.1 | CONFIDENTIAL | April 12, 2026
BUTTIGIEG
HARRIS
NEWSOM
WHITMER
SHAPIRO
PRITZKER
💰 Total Race Funding — FEC + Dark Money
Combined disclosed (FEC) and undisclosed (dark) money per race | 2024 Cycle
$4.7B TOTAL
$4.7B
Total Combined Funding
FEC + Dark Money
$2.8B
FEC Disclosed
60% of total
$1.9B
Dark Money
40% of total
MT-Senate
Most Saturated Race
$289M total
40% dark, 62% competitive: Dark money is 40% of total race funding but accounts for 62% of spending in the most competitive races.
Montana — 67% dark: Montana's Senate race had the highest dark money ratio in 2024 — 67% of all funding came from undisclosed sources.
R concentrates, D spreads: Republican dark money concentrates on fewer races; Democratic dark money spreads wider across more districts.
RaceStateFEC (R)Dark (R)Total R FEC (D)Dark (D)Total DGrand TotalDark %R/D Balance
🕸 Campaign Manager Network Map
Force-directed graph of operatives → races | Node size = funds directed | Edge weight = spending influence
40 OPERATIVES
40
Operatives Tracked
7.2
Avg Races / Top Op
Dan Sena
Most Connected (32 races)
LaCivita
Highest Funded ($1.42B)
Operative Detail — Click headers to sort
OPERATIVE ↕ FIRM ↕ PARTY ↕ RACES ↕ TOTAL FUNDS ↕ WIN RATE ↕ TOP 3 RACES