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Teboe Strategic Operations
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Strategic Operations Dashboard

Real-time intelligence and operational support for Cooper Teboe's advisory portfolio
LAST UPDATED: APRIL 24, 2026 · DATA: FEC · OPENSECRETS · RCP · 538 · NEWS CORPUS · SOCIAL SIGNALS
CT

Cooper Teboe

Founder, CDT Strategies · Silicon Valley political strategist & donor advisor
Notable clients: Ro Khanna, Josh Shapiro ($570K), Ed Markey, Biden 2020 Super PAC
Quoted in POLITICO · Roll Call · Spotlight PA

Ro Khanna
CA-17 · Incumbent · Progressive Caucus
Ferguson
41.2
Q1 Raised
$1.8M
Approval
62%
Sentiment
+18
PRIORITY: Midwest donor development for 2028 positioning
Sam Liccardo
CA-16 · Freshman · Moderate
Ferguson
32.7
Q1 Raised
$890K
Approval
54%
Sentiment
+12
PRIORITY: Build Congressional brand — AI Caucus co-chair
Eric Jones
CA-4 · Challenger · Insurgent
Ferguson
28.4
Raised
$340K
Name ID
31%
Sentiment
+8
PRIORITY: 39 days to primary — PG&E accountability as wedge
Candidate Pulse — Ro Khanna
Ferguson Score
41.2
▲ +3.1 (90d)
District Approval
62%
▲ +4% (2024)
Cash on Hand
$2.4M
▲ Q1: +$1.8M
News Sentiment
+18
▲ CHIPS Act coverage
Polling Intelligence
Khanna Favorability — 12 Months
Demographic Strength
News & Sentiment
HeadlineSourceSentimentDate
Khanna Secures $13.5M for CA-17 Community ProjectsCongress.govPOSFeb 26
Khanna Reintroduces Gasoline Export Ban ActReutersPOSApr 20
Progressive Caucus Eyes 2028: Khanna Among NamesPoliticoPOSApr 12
Silicon Valley Donors Shift Strategy for 2026Roll CallNEUMar 30
GOP Targets Khanna Over China Tech PositionsFox NewsNEGMar 18
Dark Money Exposure
EST. UNDISCLOSED SPEND:$1.2M
OPPOSING
American Prosperity Alliance (c4) — "Soft on China" ads ($340K)
OPPOSING
Citizens for Responsible Tech (c4) — CHIPS "corporate welfare" ($220K)
SUPPORT
Indivisible — Progressive mobilization CA-17 ($180K)
SUPPORT
Justice Democrats — Digital ads + grassroots ($150K)
Network Ops — Priority Contacts
1
Reid Hoffman
LinkedIn co-founder · Dem mega-donor · 2028 kingmaker
CASCADE: 8.4
2
Randi Weingarten
AFT President · 14M member reach
CASCADE: 7.2
3
Dustin Moskovitz
Open Philanthropy · Tech donor realignment
CASCADE: 6.8
4
Rep. Pramila Jayapal
Progressive Caucus Chair · Endorsement cascade
CASCADE: 6.5
5
Faiz Shakir
Fmr Sanders campaign mgr · Progressive infra
CASCADE: 5.9
Message Effectiveness
✓ RESONATING — 78%
"I wrote the CHIPS Act because Americans should build the semiconductors — not rely on China." — Economic sovereignty; Dem base + swing independents
✓ RESONATING — 71%
"Big Oil exports gas overseas while you pay $5/gallon. My Export Ban puts families first." — Populist energy; strong with non-college whites
✗ BACKFIRING — 34%
"We need a new progressive vision for foreign policy." — Too abstract; triggers "soft on defense." Replace with specific outcomes.
Strategic Actions This Week
URGENT
Midwest donor roundtable (Iowa/Michigan) — 2028 requires non-coastal proof. 3 events in May. Leverage Shapiro network.
URGENT
Counter "soft on China" — APA c4 accelerating. Deploy CHIPS sovereignty message. $50K counter-spend.
THIS WEEK
Labor coalition — CWA + SEIU meetings. Tech worker organizing = bridge to traditional labor.
MONITOR
GOP messaging tests — CA-17 safe D but watch for 2028 attack line previews.
Candidate Pulse — Sam Liccardo
Ferguson Score
32.7
▲ +1.8 (90d)
District Approval
54%
— New baseline
Cash on Hand
$620K
▲ Rebuilding
News Sentiment
+12
▲ Housing coverage
Polling Intelligence
Liccardo Favorability — Since Inauguration
Demographic Strength
News & Sentiment
HeadlineSourceSentimentDate
Liccardo Joins AI Caucus, Pushes Tech Governance BillsMercury NewsPOSApr 18
Navigation Center Model Gets Federal AttentionWaPoPOSApr 5
CA-16 Freshman Balances Tech and LaborPolitico CANEUMar 22
Progressive Groups Question Police Reform RecordThe InterceptNEGMar 10
Dark Money Exposure
EST. SPEND NEAR CA-16:$480K
WATCH
Americans for Prosperity (Koch) — Anti-tech regulation ($200K)
SUPPORT
Housing Action Fund (c4) — Navigation Center ads ($130K)
OPPOSING
PORAC IE — May target reform positions ($150K est.)
Network Ops — Priority Contacts
1
Rep. Anna Eshoo (Ret.)
Predecessor · Donor list · Institutional cred
CASCADE: 7.8
2
Vinod Khosla
Khosla Ventures · Climate tech · Moderate bridge
CASCADE: 7.1
3
Mayor Matt Mahan
Current SJ Mayor · Local endorsement
CASCADE: 6.3
4
Laurene Powell Jobs
Emerson Collective · Education/housing mega-donor
CASCADE: 6.0
5
Rep. Zoe Lofgren
CA delegation dean · Committee access
CASCADE: 5.7
Message Effectiveness
✓ RESONATING — 74%
"As mayor, I built the Navigation Center — now replicated nationally. Same problem-solving in Congress." — Executive competence; moderates + suburban women
✓ RESONATING — 68%
"AI is built in my district. I'm making sure Congress understands it before regulating it." — Tech cred; cross-party resonance
✗ WEAK — 41%
"I'm a pragmatic moderate." — Generic in D+30 district. Lead with outcomes, not labels.
Strategic Actions This Week
URGENT
AI Caucus co-chair — Natural fit. Establishes brand fast. Lobby leadership this week.
URGENT
Q2 goal: $1.2M — 3 Bay Area + 1 DC fundraiser in May. Connect Eshoo donor list.
THIS WEEK
Housing op-ed — SF Chronicle/Mercury News. Navigation Center + federal bill = unique positioning.
MONITOR
Progressive flank — Intercept piece is a signal. Prep "public safety innovation" framing.
Candidate Pulse — Eric Jones
Ferguson Score
28.4
▲ +2.6 (60d)
Name Recognition
31%
▲ +8% since filing
Total Raised
$340K
▲ Grassroots surge
News Sentiment
+8
▲ Local profile
Race — CA-4 Primary (June 2, 2026)
DEMOCRATIC
Mike Thompson (Incumbent)
26-year incumbent · $2.1M CoH
Eric Jones (Challenger)
Businessman/Nonprofit Exec · $340K · ericjones.us
REPUBLICAN
Sharon Brown — Registered Nurse
Mandy Ghusar — Conservative
DISTRICT: Napa, Solano, Yolo → Sacramento suburbs. Cook PVI: D+10. Top-two primary.
Polling
CA-4 Primary — Name Recognition & Favorable
News & Sentiment
HeadlineSourceSentimentDate
Eric Jones Seeks to Provide 'American Dream' in U.S. HouseDaily DemocratPOSApr 5
CA-4 Primary: Jones Challenges Thompson on AffordabilitySac BeeNEUMar 28
PG&E Rate Hikes Draw Congressional ScrutinySF ChroniclePOSMar 15
Thompson Defends 26-Year RecordNapa RegisterNEUMar 8
Dark Money Exposure
EST. DARK MONEY CA-4:$290K
WATCH
PG&E/Utility PACs — Jones's accountability platform = target ($150K if triggered)
WATCH
Ag industry c4s — Water policy opposition ($90K)
POTENTIAL
Progressive network — If 35% name ID, expect Justice Dems/Our Revolution
Message Effectiveness
✓ RESONATING — 72%
"PG&E charged you $5,000 more while their CEO made $51M. I'm running to hold them accountable." — PG&E populist; suburban families + rural
✓ RESONATING — 69%
"$10,000 middle-class tax credit — real money, not promises." — Concrete benefit; all demographics
✗ WEAK — 38%
"After 26 years, time for new leadership." — Generic; voters like Thompson. Focus on WHAT, not tenure.
Strategic Actions This Week
CRITICAL
39 DAYS — Name ID blitz — Need 45% by May 20. $80K digital Napa/Solano/Yolo + 3x earned media/week.
URGENT
PG&E town hall — Napa or Fairfield. Utility costs = #1 wedge. First week of May.
URGENT
Veteran mobilization — Travis AFB in CA-4. VFW + American Legion events. Underutilized.
THIS WEEK
Endorsements — Solano Dems, Yolo Dems, CA Nurses Assn. Name ID + volunteer infra.
THIS WEEK
Hit $500K by May 1 — Housing donors + progressive bundlers. $500K = viability signal.
2028 Democratic Field — Ferguson Tracker
Ferguson Invisible Primary Scores — April 2026
Field Intelligence
CandidateFergusonFundraisingStrengthVulnerability
Gretchen Whitmer62.8$8.2M PACMidwest electabilityNational name ID
Josh Shapiro58.4$5.5M cyclePA margin + bipartisanProgressive trust
Gavin Newsom54.1$12M+ fundFundraising machineNet approval -12
Pete Buttigieg51.7$3.8M PACMedia + Cabinet expBlack voter gap
Andy Beshear48.3$2.1M PACWon KY twiceLimited nat'l profile
Ro Khanna41.2$1.8M Q1Progressive + techName ID outside CA
J.B. Pritzker39.6Self-fund $3B+Unlimited resourcesBillionaire label
Khanna 2028 Path Assessment
STRENGTHS
  • Bridges progressive base AND Silicon Valley
  • CHIPS Act = "I built this"
  • Indian American — growing demo
  • Populism without socialist baggage
  • Teboe's Shapiro/Biden network
VULNERABILITIES
  • Ferguson 41.2 — 20+ pts behind leaders
  • Zero Midwest/South infrastructure
  • Foreign policy heterodoxy
  • "SV elitist" perception
  • If Whitmer runs, lane closes
CDO ASSESSMENT
Viable path: (1) Midwest infra by Q4 2026, (2) breakout national moment, (3) Whitmer/Shapiro decline. Teboe's role critical — SV bridge + Shapiro network unlocks early-state fundraising. Probability: 8-12%.
Donor Signals
Mega-Donor Alignment — Q1 2026
Cross-Portfolio Intelligence
Unified view — resource allocation and strategic coordination
Ferguson Scores
Resource Allocation
ERIC JONES
50%
LICCARDO
30%
KHANNA 2028
20%
RATIONALE: Jones: 39 days to June 2 primary. Liccardo: Q2 fundraising. Khanna: long-game. Shift 40/30/30 post-primary.
Donor Overlap
Khanna ↔ Liccardo: 34 shared (Bay Area tech). HIGH — coordinate timing.
Khanna ↔ Jones: 8 shared (progressive bundlers). LOW
Liccardo ↔ Jones: 12 shared (CA moderate Dems). LOW
Threat Dashboard
CA-4
Thompson wall — 26 years. Break through by May 20.
CA-16
Progressive flank — Police reform weaponized.
CA-17
"Soft on China" — APA c4 $340K. Counter deployed.
Data Sources
Polling: RCP, 538, Emerson, PPIC, Berkeley IGS · Fundraising: FEC EFDS, OpenSecrets, Quiver Quantitative · Dark Money: IRS 990/527, state filings, OpenSecrets · Ferguson Scores: CDO Invisible Primary model · Sentiment: NLP across 50+ sources + social
Intelligence as of April 24, 2026. Ferguson scores are proprietary CDO metrics.